Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Tigre — AI prediction

Kick-off: 2026-07-25

Tigre dominates this matchup decisively: a €37.6m squad facing a €6.4m side bottom of the Apertura standings with just 5 points from 16 games. Tigre's last-5 is WLWDD (8 goals for, 4 against in recent matches) with attacking weapons D. Romero (7 goals, 12 apps) and I. Russo (4 goals, 3 assists). Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won only once all season, conceding 24 goals, and have lost their last four straight (2 goals scored in that span). Head-to-head favours Tigre (2 wins, 1 draw, no losses). The API model backs Tigre at 69.6% combined probability; the odds at 2.22 imply ~45% but undervalue the away side's material edge in squad strength, recent form, and direct record.

Key factors

• Squad market value: Tigre €37.6m vs Estudiantes €6.4m — nearly 6× differential
• Form disparity: Tigre W-L-W-D-D vs Estudiantes L-L-L-L-D in last 5
• Season records: Tigre 4W-8D-4L (20 pts, 18 GF, 15 GA); Estudiantes 1W-2D-13L (5 pts, 5 GF, 24 GA)
• H2H: Tigre 2 wins, Estudiantes 0 wins, 1 draw in recent meetings
• Tigre's top scorers D. Romero (7g, 2a, 12a) and I. Russo (4g, 3a, 16a) both active
• Estudiantes' last-4 record: 4 losses, 2 goals scored, 7 conceded

Win probability

• Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 0%
• Draw: 0%
• Tigre: 55%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 62%
• Both teams to score: 48%

Recent form

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: LLLLD · Tigre: WLWDD

Standings

• Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 15th in Apertura - Group B, 5 pts
• Tigre: 10th in Apertura - Group B, 20 pts

Head-to-head

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0 · Tigre 2 · 1 draws

• 2026-01-26: Tigre 2-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
• 2021-08-17: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-0 Tigre
• 2021-04-03: Tigre 1-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto