England vs Congo DR — AI prediction

Result

England 2-1 Congo DR

Kick-off: 2026-07-01

England enter this last-16 tie in dominant form — WDWWW with 10 goals scored and just 2 conceded, averaging 21.8 shots and 2.04 xG per game. Tuchel names a strong XI with Kane (3 goals) leading a full-strength attack despite Reece James (hamstring) missing. Congo DR scraped through as a best third-placed side (WLDLD, 5-5) with modest output — 11 shots and 1.14 xG per game, and were outclassed by Colombia and Portugal. England should control possession and win comfortably; a defensively resolute DR limits the margin somewhat.

Key factors

• England unbeaten in last 5 (4W 1D), 10 scored / 2 conceded
• England avg 21.8 shots, 70% possession, 2.04 xG recently
• Congo DR only 1.14 xG, 42% possession over last 4 — weak going forward
• Kane in form with 3 goals; only James (hamstring) absent for England
• DR's low-block, low-scoring profile suggests a controlled England win rather than a rout
• API model: England 50% / draw 50% / away 0%, advice England-or-draw

Win probability

• England: 78%
• Draw: 16%
• Congo DR: 6%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 50%
• Both teams to score: 37%

Recent form

England: WDWWW · Congo DR: WLDLD

Standings

• England: 1st in Group L, 7 pts
• Congo DR: 3rd in Group K, 4 pts