Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-07-28
Dinamo Zagreb enters as the stronger proposition: dominant recent form with 3 wins in last 5 (9-0, 4-2, 3-0), conceding just 2 goals in that run, and a 16:2 goal differential. FC Thun has stuttered (L–D–W–D–L), shipping 14 goals in 5 games, and looks fragile defensively despite occasional attacking moments (6-2 over Neuchatel). The Zagreb squad shows consistent control (62% possession, 13 shots per outing) whilst Thun's 46.5% average possession and 4 SOT per game suggest limited punch. Home advantage at Maksimir reinforces Zagreb's edge. A home win is the base case.
Key factors
- Dinamo Zagreb: 3 wins in last 5 (9-0, 4-2, 3-0), 16:2 goal difference, strong possession (62%), clinical finishing
- FC Thun: fragile form (L–D–W–D–L), 12:14 goal differential over last 5, only 4 SOT per recent game, permeable defence
- Zagreb's last two outings: draws v LNZ Cherkasy (0-0) and NK Lokomotiva (0-0) suggest some inconsistency in final third, but three prior wins were emphatic
- Thun conceded 8 to Young Boys and 2 to Waldhof; defence is unreliable against stronger opposition
- No injury data available; lineups not yet published; treat confident selections with standard caution
- API model defaults to 33% all-ways (no prediction), providing no additional signal—rely on form and xG evidence
Win probability
- Dinamo Zagreb: 60%
- Draw: 25%
- FC Thun: 15%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 62%
- Both teams to score: 45%
Recent form
Dinamo Zagreb: DWWWD · FC Thun: LDWDL