CSKA Sofia vs Derry City — AI prediction

Result

CSKA Sofia 3-2 Derry City

Kick-off: 2026-07-09

The market makes CSKA Sofia strong home favourites (1.30) and the on-pitch evidence broadly supports it: WWLW recently including a 3-0 home win over Marek and a 3-2 away win at Odra Opole. Derry City arrive leaky, having conceded 4 at Waterford (2-4 loss) and shipping goals throughout a patchy LWDLW run despite scoring freely (10 for). CSKA at home should control this, but Derry carry attacking threat, so a low-scoring blowout is not guaranteed. No lineup or H2H data was provided, limiting certainty.

Key factors

• CSKA Sofia last5 WWLW, strong home form (3-0 v Marek)
• Derry City conceded 4 at home to Waterford, defensively fragile (8 against)
• Derry can score - 10 goals in recent games, xG up to 3.23 in wins
• Market implies ~77% CSKA win; away priced at 11.0
• No lineups, injuries or H2H data available - reduced confidence

Win probability

• CSKA Sofia: 73%
• Draw: 19%
• Derry City: 9%

Goals & scoring

• Both teams to score: 50%

Recent form

CSKA Sofia: WWLW · Derry City: LWDLW