Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati — AI prediction

Kick-off: 2026-07-25

FC Cincinnati arrive as clear form favourites, sitting 7th in the Eastern Conference with 5 wins in their last 14 games (WWWDL last-5) and prolific attacking output: 36 goals across the season with K. Denkey (9 goals, 2 assists) and Evander (9 goals, 6 assists) driving the offence. Columbus Crew are struggling at 10th, winless in their last two (LDWWD) and plagued by injuries (W. Abou Ali, B. Lennon out; A. Gomes questionable). Despite home advantage at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, the form gap and attacking disparity favour the away side, though recent head-to-head (4–4 in wins, 2 draws) suggests competitive contests.

Key factors

• FC Cincinnati in excellent form (4 wins in last 5), averaging 12.5 shots per game and 6.5 on target recently
• Columbus Crew missing two key defenders (Abou Ali, Lennon) and questionable on Gomes; conceded 4 goals in last 5
• K. Denkey and Evander combining for 18 goals and 8 assists this season; Cincinnati xG 2.2 vs Crew 1.26 in recent matches
• API prediction assigns 35% Columbus, 35% draw, 30% Cincinnati, but form/injury data weights away side higher
• Head-to-head tied at 4–4 wins; recent results show high-scoring meetings (4–0, 2–1, 2–4 scorelines in 2025)

Win probability

• Columbus Crew: 42%
• Draw: 23%
• FC Cincinnati: 36%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 65%
• Both teams to score: 68%

Recent form

Columbus Crew: LDWWD · FC Cincinnati: WWWDL

Standings

• Columbus Crew: 10th in Eastern Conference, 16 pts
• FC Cincinnati: 7th in Eastern Conference, 20 pts

Head-to-head

Columbus Crew 4 · FC Cincinnati 4 · 2 draws

• 2025-11-08: FC Cincinnati 2-1 Columbus Crew
• 2025-11-02: Columbus Crew 4-0 FC Cincinnati
• 2025-10-27: FC Cincinnati 1-0 Columbus Crew
• 2025-07-12: FC Cincinnati 2-4 Columbus Crew
• 2025-05-17: Columbus Crew 1-1 FC Cincinnati