Colombia vs Ghana — AI prediction

Result

Colombia 1-0 Ghana

Kick-off: 2026-07-04

Colombia are clear favourites, unbeaten in their last five (DWWWW, 9 scored, 2 conceded) with strong underlying numbers — 14.2 shots and 5.2 on target per game at 62.8% possession. Ghana arrive in poor shape (LDWDL, 3 for, 5 against), managing just 6.8 shots and 0.98 xG per match while averaging only 36% possession. Expect Colombia to dominate territory and win, with Ghana's low output making a comfortable home margin likely.

Key factors

• Colombia last5 DWWWW vs Ghana LDWDL
• Colombia +7 goal difference in last 5 (9 for, 2 against) vs Ghana -2 (3 for, 5 against)
• Colombia average 14.2 shots and 1.43 xG; Ghana just 6.8 shots and 0.98 xG
• Ghana carry heavy fouling (13.6/game) — card-heavy underdog dynamic
• API prediction backs Colombia, form 64/36 and defence 67/33 in their favour
• Neutral venue: home advantage nominal

Win probability

• Colombia: 65%
• Draw: 24%
• Ghana: 11%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 43%
• Both teams to score: 40%

Recent form

Colombia: DWWWW · Ghana: LDWDL

Standings

• Colombia: 1st in Group K, 7 pts
• Ghana: 3rd in Group L, 4 pts