Chelsea vs Hull City — AI prediction
Result
Chelsea 2-2 Hull City
Kick-off: 2026-09-12
Chelsea are heavy favourites at Stamford Bridge against Hull City, backed by a dominant head-to-head record (9 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats) and recent 4-0 victory over Hull in February 2026. Chelsea's last five show W–L–W–W–W with 16 goals in five matches; they thrashed Leeds 6–3 on 9 September and beat Brighton 4–3, though they lost 1–2 to Arsenal. Hull sit third in the table with 7 points but their underlying form is thin: only 4 goals in their last five, averaging 3.4 shots on target and 1.05 xG per game. Chelsea's key attackers João Pedro (2 goals, 2 assists in 3 apps), Rogers (2 goals, 1 assist) and Palmer (2 goals, 1 assist) are in early-season form, while Hull face multiple injuries (Ansah, Butland, Gyabi, Hughes, Matazo, Morita) that weaken both defence and midfield. Chelsea also have injuries (Caicedo, Emegha, Henderson, Palestra) but superior squad depth compensates. Expect a comfortable home win.
Key factors
- Chelsea 9–0–0 vs Hull in head-to-head; most recent clash 4–0 in February 2026.
- Chelsea last five: W–L–W–W–W (16 goals in 5 matches); beat Leeds 6–3, Brighton 4–3 on recent form.
- Hull City last five: L–D–W–D–W; only 4 goals in 5 matches, 1.05 xG/game, 3.4 shots on target per game.
- Chelsea key scorers: João Pedro 2 goals + 2 assists (3 apps), Rogers 2 goals (3 apps), Palmer 2 goals (3 apps).
- Hull missing key personnel: Ansah, Butland, Gyabi, Hughes, Matazo, Morita all unavailable.
- Chelsea injuries: Caicedo, Emegha, Henderson, Palestra, but squad depth mitigates impact.
- Stamford Bridge home advantage applies; Chelsea 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss in season so far (8 goals, 7 conceded).
- Hull 3rd in table (7 points) but low-volume attacking profile and depleted squad suggest table position masks soft underlying strength.
Win probability
- Chelsea: 78%
- Draw: 15%
- Hull City: 6%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 70%
- Both teams to score: 44%
Recent form
Chelsea: WLWWW · Hull City: LDWDW
Standings
- Chelsea: 4th in Premier League, 6 pts
- Hull City: 3rd in Premier League, 7 pts
Head-to-head
Chelsea 9 · Hull City 0 · 0 draws
- 2026-02-13: Hull City 0-4 Chelsea
- 2020-01-25: Hull City 1-2 Chelsea
- 2018-02-16: Chelsea 4-0 Hull City
- 2017-01-22: Chelsea 2-0 Hull City
- 2016-10-01: Hull City 0-2 Chelsea