CF Montreal vs Inter Miami — AI prediction
Result
CF Montreal 0-1 Inter Miami
Kick-off: 2026-07-25
Inter Miami arrive in outstanding form (5 consecutive wins, 20 goals in last 5 games) and hold a 5-4 head-to-head edge over CF Montreal in recent meetings, including a dominant 4-1 victory just weeks ago. However, Miami face a crippling absence: Lionel Messi is unavailable for rest, alongside injuries to T. Allende, D. Ayala, R. de Paul, and two further questionable players (M. Falcon, G. Lujan). Montreal are also depleted (W. Carmona, T. Gillier, B. Hidalgo out), but at home (Saputo Stadium) retain defensive discipline (55 % defense rating per API). Miami's 9 wins, +11 goal differential, and 31 pts (2nd in Eastern Conference) dwarf Montreal's 4 wins, -9 GD, and 15 pts (11th place), yet the Messi absence materially weakens their attacking threat. Expect a competitive, lower-scoring encounter.
Key factors
- Inter Miami unbeaten in last 5 matches (W-W-W-W-W) with 20 goals scored, 11 conceded
- CF Montreal 11 points behind Miami in standings; only 4 wins all season; home record mixed (DWWDL recent)
- CRITICAL: Lionel Messi (13 goals, 7 assists in 14 apps) ruled out for rest; also missing T. Allende, D. Ayala, R. de Paul, plus M. Falcon and G. Lujan questionable
- CF Montreal also depleted: W. Carmona, T. Gillier, B. Hidalgo all injured
- Head-to-head: Miami 5 wins vs Montreal 4 wins (1 draw); recent trend strongly favours Miami (4-1 win July 2025, 4-2 win May 2025)
- P. Owusu (9 goals, 6 assists) is Montreal's only standout; G. Berterame (7 goals, 3 assists) available for Miami but Messi's loss severely blunts attack
- API prediction favours draw/Miami double chance and over 1.5 goals; suggests Combo bet reflects Messi absence uncertainty
Win probability
- CF Montreal: 24%
- Draw: 29%
- Inter Miami: 47%
Goals & scoring
- Both teams to score: 60%
Recent form
CF Montreal: DWWDL · Inter Miami: WWWWW
Standings
- CF Montreal: 11th in Eastern Conference, 15 pts
- Inter Miami: 2nd in Eastern Conference, 31 pts
Head-to-head
CF Montreal 4 · Inter Miami 5 · 1 draws
- 2025-07-05: CF Montreal 1-4 Inter Miami
- 2025-05-28: Inter Miami 4-2 CF Montreal
- 2024-05-11: CF Montreal 2-3 Inter Miami
- 2024-03-10: Inter Miami 2-3 CF Montreal
- 2023-05-27: CF Montreal 1-0 Inter Miami