Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — AI prediction
Kick-off: 2026-07-28
Egnatia Rrogozhinë enters as clear favorites on the back of dominant recent form: four wins in their last five matches (WDWWW), scoring 14 goals and conceding just 4. Celje, conversely, has stumbled with draws and a loss in their last four outings (DDWDL), posting a 17% form rating versus Egnatia's 83%. The away side's attack (77% rating) vastly outmatches Celje's defence (63%), and their 3.5 goals-per-game average in recent fixtures suggests a high-scoring contest. Celje's home advantage is negated by their poor recent form and defensive vulnerability. Expect Egnatia to prevail or draw.
Key factors
- Egnatia form: WDWWW, 14 goals in last 5 (2.8 per match); Celje form: DDWDL, 8 goals (1.6 per match)
- Attack differential: Egnatia 77% vs Celje 23%; Defence: Celje 63% vs Egnatia 38%
- Egnatia's last win: 6-1 vs Petrocub (2026-07-15); Celje's only recent win: 4-3 vs MTK Budapest (2026-07-08)
- API bookmaker model: Egnatia 45%, Celje 10%, Draw 45%; recommends double chance (draw or away) + over 2.5
- Lineups unavailable; no confirmed injuries on either side
- Head-to-head history unavailable; neutral factors do not apply (standard home advantage noted)
Win probability
- Celje: 15%
- Draw: 40%
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 45%
Goals & scoring
- Over 2.5 goals: 62%
- Both teams to score: 58%
Recent form
Celje: DDWDL · Egnatia Rrogozhinë: WDWWW