Canada vs Morocco — AI prediction

Result

Canada 0-3 Morocco

Kick-off: 2026-07-04

Morocco enter in stronger shape (WWDDW, 11 goals scored, only 4 conceded), unbeaten across their last five including a draw at Brazil and a 4-2 win over Haiti, with Saibari (3 goals) leading the line. Canada are more streaky — a 6-0 rout of Qatar inflates their numbers but they've drawn twice and lost to Switzerland, and they lose midfielder Koné to a leg fracture. H2H favours Morocco (won 1-2 in 2022) and the market and API both lean Moroccan. We back Morocco but respect their draw-heavy record, so double chance draw/away offers the safest value.

Key factors

• Morocco unbeaten last 5 (WWDDW) vs Canada's WLWDD
• Canada miss I. Koné (fractured lower leg)
• Only H2H meeting won by Morocco 1-2
• API model: 45% Morocco, 45% draw, only 10% Canada
• Both sides average ~2.0+ xG recently but Morocco tighter defensively
• Neutral venue — home advantage nominal for Canada

Win probability

• Canada: 19%
• Draw: 29%
• Morocco: 52%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 45%
• Both teams to score: 50%

Recent form

Canada: WLWDD · Morocco: WWDDW

Standings

• Canada: 2nd in Group B, 4 pts
• Morocco: 2nd in Group C, 7 pts

Head-to-head

Canada 0 · Morocco 1 · 0 draws

• 2022-12-01: Canada 1-2 Morocco