Brazil vs Norway — AI prediction

Result

Brazil 1-2 Norway

Kick-off: 2026-07-05

Brazil come in as top seeds with a WWDWW run, 15 goals scored and only 4 conceded, plus a strong defensive rating (80% in the model). Vinícius Júnior (4 goals) and Matheus Cunha (3) lead the line, though Raphinha is out with a hamstring injury. Norway are dangerous with Haaland (4 goals) but leak goals — 9 conceded in five, including a 1-4 loss to France. Brazil's superior balance makes them favourites, but Norway's attack keeps BTTS live.

Key factors

• Brazil WWDWW, +11 GD over last 5 vs Norway's leaky 9 conceded
• Model rates Brazil defence 80% vs 20% — clear edge
• Raphinha (hamstring) out for Brazil, but Vini Jr & Cunha in form
• Haaland (4 goals) gives Norway genuine scoring threat
• Both defences beatable: Norway conceded 4 to France, Brazil drew Morocco 1-1

Win probability

• Brazil: 52%
• Draw: 26%
• Norway: 22%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 54%
• Both teams to score: 57%

Recent form

Brazil: WWDWW · Norway: LWWDW

Standings

• Brazil: 1st in Group C, 7 pts
• Norway: 2nd in Group I, 6 pts