Brazil vs Morocco — AI prediction
Result
Brazil 1-1 Morocco
Kick-off: 2026-06-13
Brazil are firm favourites at MetLife Stadium in this World Cup group fixture, though the underlying form data is more modest than the market price suggests. Brazil's last-5 reads WDDWD — unbeaten but with three draws, scoring 12 and conceding 9, which points to an attack that produces goals (5-3 win, 3-2 win) but a defence that has been leaky in every recent outing. Morocco arrive on LWLWW form, having won three of their last five including a 3-0 away result at Strasbourg, with 10 goals scored and 9 conceded. The away side has shown they can both score and concede freely (2-4 loss, 1-3 loss). The head-to-head is perfectly balanced at 4 wins each with 2 draws, offering no decisive edge. Given the tournament is at a neutral-style venue, home advantage is nominal. With both teams conceding regularly in recent games, there is a clear lean toward goals and BTTS rather than a Brazil clean sheet. The market's 1.70 on Brazil implies roughly 59%; given the defensive frailty on both sides and Morocco's scoring form, the value sits more on the goals markets than on backing a comfortable Brazil win.
Key factors
- Brazil unbeaten in last 5 (WDDWD) but conceded in every recent match (9 against in 5)
- Morocco in decent form (LWLWW), 3 wins in 5 incl. 3-0 away win at Strasbourg
- Both sides scoring freely and leaking goals — points to over/BTTS
- Head-to-head dead even: 4-4-2, no decisive historical edge
- Neutral-venue tournament: home advantage is nominal
- No lineups or key-player/injury data available — reduces confidence
Win probability
- Brazil: 55%
- Draw: 26%
- Morocco: 19%
Goals markets
- Over 2.5 goals: 56%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Recent form
Brazil: WDDWD · Morocco: LWLWW
Head-to-head
Brazil 4 · Morocco 4 · 2 draws
- 2025-02-21: Rennes 1-0 Reims
- 2024-09-01: Reims 2-1 Rennes
- 2024-05-19: Reims 2-1 Rennes
- 2023-11-26: Rennes 3-1 Reims
- 2023-04-15: Rennes 3-0 Reims