Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar — AI prediction

Result

Bosnia & Herzegovina 3-1 Qatar

Kick-off: 2026-06-24

Bosnia & Herzegovina enter strong favourites against a Qatar side in poor form. Bosnia are unbeaten in their last four (LDDDD) with four straight draws, including creditable 1-1 results away to Canada and Panama and at home to Italy, plus a goalless draw with Macedonia; their only loss was 1-4 at Switzerland. They've scored just 4 and conceded 7 across the last five, suggesting a side that competes but isn't free-scoring. Qatar's form is alarming: LDDL with just 1 goal scored and 8 conceded, headlined by a 0-6 thrashing by Canada and goalless/single-goal results against El Salvador and Ireland. Qatar are also weakened by two suspensions — Homam Ahmed and Assim Madibo (Madibo a key midfield presence) — both out via red card, undermining an already leaky defence and midfield. Bosnia lose Muharemović (red card) but field a strong XI led by veterans Edin Džeko and Ermedin Demirović up front, supported by Premier-quality experience in Kolašinac. Lopetegui's Qatar set up 4-3-3 with Afif and Al Haydos but have shown no attacking threat recently. Bosnia should control this and win, though their own modest scoring and Qatar's tendency to dig in (two 0-0/1-1 draws) makes a blowout less certain than the handicap implies. Expect Bosnia to win by one or two; a low-to-moderate total is likely. No head-to-head data was provided.

Key factors

• Qatar dreadful form: 1 goal for, 8 against in last 5, including 0-6 v Canada
• Qatar missing two suspended players (Madibo, Ahmed) weakening midfield and defence
• Bosnia unbeaten in four (four draws) but only 4 goals scored — solid not prolific
• Džeko and Demirović lead Bosnia's attack; Kolašinac adds quality
• Neutral venue: home advantage nominal, but quality gap clearly favours Bosnia

Win probability

• Bosnia & Herzegovina: 71%
• Draw: 20%
• Qatar: 9%

Goals markets

• Both teams to score: 45%

Recent form

Bosnia & Herzegovina: LDDDD · Qatar: LDDL