Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 — AI prediction

Result

Borussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07

Kick-off: 2026-09-12

Borussia Dortmund are overwhelming favourites at home: they sit 3rd in the Bundesliga on 6 points (W2, 5 goals in 2 league games, +3 goal difference), while SC Paderborn 07 are 12th with just 1 point (D1 L1, 0 goals, -1 GD). Dortmund's last five show WWWLD with 13 goals for and 6 against; Paderborn's LDWDW is far more fragile, and crucially they have failed to score in both league matches this season. Dortmund's form edge and attacking prowess (API forecasts 45% home, 10% away) combined with Paderborn's toothless offence make a Dortmund win highly probable, though both sides carry injury burdens.

Key factors

  • Borussia Dortmund: 3rd place, 2 wins from 2 league games, +3 GD, 5 goals scored, 2 conceded.
  • SC Paderborn 07: 12th place, 0-1 league record, -1 GD, 0 goals scored in 2 matches (failed to score both times).
  • Head-to-head: Dortmund 4 wins, Paderborn 0 wins, 3 draws in recent history; recent scoreline 3–2 to Dortmund (2021).
  • Dortmund injuries: E. Can, S. Inacio, M. Kaba, K. Karetsas, G. Konstantelias, J. Lerma, F. Mane (duplicates in list); S. Guirassy in form (2 goals, 1 assist in 2 appearances).
  • Paderborn injuries: N. Awortwie-Grant, L. Eickel, T. Gayret, S. Klaas, S. Michel out.
  • Paderborn's recent loss to SC Freiburg (0–1, 59% possession) shows defensive fragility despite possession.
  • API Prediction: 45% home win, combo Dortmund & under 3.5 goals advised.
  • Home venue (Signal Iduna Park) and Dortmund's attacking superiority heavily favour the home side.

Win probability

  • Borussia Dortmund: 80%
  • Draw: 14%
  • SC Paderborn 07: 6%

Goals & scoring

  • Over 2.5 goals: 58%
  • Both teams to score: 43%

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund: WWWLD · SC Paderborn 07: LDWDW

Standings

  • Borussia Dortmund: 3rd in Bundesliga, 6 pts
  • SC Paderborn 07: 12th in Bundesliga, 1 pts

Head-to-head

Borussia Dortmund 4 · SC Paderborn 07 0 · 3 draws

  • 2021-02-02: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 SC Paderborn 07
  • 2020-08-28: Borussia Dortmund 1-1 SC Paderborn 07
  • 2020-05-31: SC Paderborn 07 1-6 Borussia Dortmund
  • 2019-11-22: Borussia Dortmund 3-3 SC Paderborn 07
  • 2015-10-28: Borussia Dortmund 7-1 SC Paderborn 07

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