Bologna vs Lazio — AI prediction

Result

Bologna 0-1 Lazio

Kick-off: 2026-08-24

Bologna arrive with preseason form (LLWWD, 0–0 points) against Lazio, who are stronger in recent friendlies (LWWWW, 14 goals in 5 games). This is the start of Serie A 2026 for both; neither has official-season data yet. Head-to-head favours Lazio slightly (4 wins to Bologna's 3 in 10 meetings), and Lazio won the most recent league fixture 2–0 in March 2026. Lazio's injury burden is severe—Cataldi, Romagnoli, Furlanetto, and Gigot all absent—but Bologna are also without Casale. The bookmaker model (api_prediction) leans Lazio at 62% (H2H 71% weight), and despite preseason handicaps, Lazio's offensive output (14 goals) and Bologna's defensive frailty (7 conceded, including 4 to Pisa) suggest an away tilt. Home advantage is modest at the start of a new season when neither side has domestic sharpness.

Key factors

• Preseason form: Lazio 14 goals in 5 friendlies (LWWWW); Bologna 7 goals in 5, with losses to Brighton (0–1) and Pisa (1–4).
• H2H recent: Lazio won 2–0 at home (March 2026); Lazio lead 4–3 in last 10 meetings.
• Injuries: Lazio missing 4 key players (Cataldi, Romagnoli, Furlanetto, Gigot); Bologna without Casale. Lazio's midfield/defence compromised.
• Season context: Both 0–0 in Serie A standings; preseason only. No official-season stats yet; early-fixture volatility applies.
• Bookmaker model: api_prediction favours Lazio (62%), emphasising H2H (71% away).
• Possession/shots: Lazio averaged 70% possession, 21 shots vs Mantova (most recent fixture); attacking intent clear.

Win probability

• Bologna: 36%
• Draw: 25%
• Lazio: 39%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 52%
• Both teams to score: 52%

Recent form

Bologna: LLWWD · Lazio: LWWWW

Standings

• Bologna: 11th in Serie A, 0 pts
• Lazio: 12th in Serie A, 0 pts

Head-to-head

Bologna 3 · Lazio 4 · 3 draws

• 2026-03-22: Bologna 0-2 Lazio
• 2026-02-11: Bologna 1-1 Lazio
• 2025-12-07: Lazio 1-1 Bologna
• 2025-03-16: Bologna 5-0 Lazio
• 2024-11-24: Lazio 3-0 Bologna