Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise — AI prediction

Result

Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Union St. Gilloise

Kick-off: 2026-08-11

This is a Champions League regular-phase fixture between Bodo/Glimt (home) and Union St. Gilloise (away), a match between two sides in strong recent form but with critical data gaps. Bodo/Glimt has won 4 of 5 (last5: WDWWW), averaging 2.44 xG and 7 shots on target per game; Union St. Gilloise is 3-2-0 in their last 5, with 15 goals in the same span. The teams drew 3-3 just a week ago (2026-08-04) and 0-0 in October 2024. Market odds price Bodo/Glimt at 1.59 (implied ~63%), but UEFA coefficient data is missing for both sides—critical for a continental-cup calibration check. Without player availability, recent season standings, or squad-value figures, confidence is materially constrained. The high odds on a home 1X2 combined with the fresh 3-3 draw and balanced API-prediction (33%-33%-33%) suggest value in either a draw or away outsider, not the chalk home pick.

Key factors

  • Recent form: Bodo/Glimt 4W-1D (15 GF, 4 GA last 5); Union 3W-2D (15 GF, 6 GA last 5)—both in sharp form.
  • Head-to-head: 3-3 draw on 2026-08-04 and 0-0 on 2024-10-03; no winner in two meetings.
  • Shots & xG: Bodo/Glimt averaging 15.75 shots, 7.0 SOT, 2.44 xG per recent game; Union's last match 19 shots, 10 SOT, 1.79 xG.
  • Critical data gaps: No UEFA coefficient, no squad market value, no injury list, no starting XIs, no season standings—limits confidence in continental-cup context.
  • Odds: Home 1.59 implies ~63%; draw 4.40 (~23%); away 4.70 (~21%)—market is pricing Bodo/Glimt heavily, but balanced API (33%-33%-33%) and recent 3-3 draw suggest caution.
  • No API prediction confidence provided ('No predictions available'); calibration to early Champions League stage demands objective strength signals (coefficient/squad value), which are absent.

Win probability

  • Bodo/Glimt: 53%
  • Draw: 27%
  • Union St. Gilloise: 20%

Goals & scoring

  • Over 2.5 goals: 70%
  • Both teams to score: 65%

Recent form

Bodo/Glimt: WDWWW · Union St. Gilloise: WDDWW

Head-to-head

Bodo/Glimt 0 · Union St. Gilloise 0 · 2 draws

  • 2026-08-04: Union St. Gilloise 3-3 Bodo/Glimt
  • 2024-10-03: Union St. Gilloise 0-0 Bodo/Glimt

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