Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian — AI prediction

Kick-off: 2026-08-06

Benfica are heavy favorites in a UEFA Europa League regular-phase match against Heart of Midlothian. Benfica's UEFA coefficient (87.75) vastly outmatches Hearts (8.0), and their domestic league rank (6th of 55) towers over Scotland's 19th. Recent form reinforces the gap: Benfica have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 14 goals in that span and conceding only 5. Hearts are 2-3 in their last five with just 4 goals for and 9 against, suffering heavy defeats to Sturm Graz (0-4, 0-2). The market reflects this with Benfica at 1.11 for a win. Look for a Benfica victory, likely by two goals or more.

Key factors

• Benfica's UEFA coefficient (87.75) vastly superior to Hearts (8.0); Portuguese league (6th of 55 UEFA rankings) far stronger than Scotland (19th of 55)
• Benfica: 3 wins in last 5 (vs St. Gallen 5-0, Belenenses 5-1, Villarreal 2-0); 14 goals for, 5 against in recent form
• Hearts: 2-3 in last 5; conceded 4 to Sturm Graz twice (0-4, 0-2) and 2 to Aberdeen; only 4 goals for across 5 matches
• Odds imply ~90% Benfica win probability; 1.11 decimal reflects extreme dominance
• Early Europa League regular phase: Benfica well-established; Hearts in qualifying/early stage mindset with fragile defensive record

Win probability

• Benfica: 87%
• Draw: 9%
• Heart Of Midlothian: 4%

Goals & scoring

• Both teams to score: 40%

Recent form

Benfica: WWLWL · Heart Of Midlothian: LLWLW