Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu — AI prediction

Kick-off: 2026-08-07

Beijing Guoan hold clear structural advantage: 7th in league with +7 goal differential and 6 clean sheets vs Sichuan Jiuniu (10th, -7 GD, 4 clean sheets). Recent form favours Guoan—4 of last 5 completed matches unbeaten (WDWD), scoring 7 in 4 games; Jiuniu volatile, WLDLW over 5, conceding heavily (7 in last 5). Zhang Yuning's 9 goals in 19 apps anchors Guoan attack; Wesley Moraes (10 goals, 21 apps) faces a tight Guoan backline. Head-to-head split 2-3 Guoan wins, but recent trend strongly favours home side: Guoan won the last home fixture 3-1 (May 2025) and drew 0-0 away in April 2026. Home odds at 1.35 imply 74% probability; on-pitch evidence (form, structure, clean sheets) supports backing Guoan, though Jiuniu's attacking talent (Moraes) and underdog pattern warrant modest reserve.

Key factors

  • Beijing Guoan 7th, +7 GD, 6 clean sheets; Sichuan Jiuniu 10th, -7 GD, 4 clean sheets — structural strength gap clear.
  • Guoan last 4 matches WDWD (7 goals, 5 conceded); Jiuniu last 5 WLDLW (9 goals, 7 conceded) — form trend favours home.
  • Zhang Yuning 9 goals in 19 apps (Guoan key threat); Wesley Moraes 10 goals in 21 apps (Jiuniu's primary outlet).
  • Recent h2h: Guoan won home 3-1 (May 2025), drew away 0-1 (April 2026); Jiuniu struggles away defensively.
  • Odds 1.35 (Guoan) imply 74% win probability; on-pitch form and defensive structure support this, but Jiuniu attacking quality (Moraes) and away form volatility present risk.
  • Sichuan Jiuniu failed to score in 6 league games this season; Guoan conceded only once in last 4 outings — BTTS 'No' solid value.

Win probability

  • Beijing Guoan: 68%
  • Draw: 18%
  • Sichuan Jiuniu: 14%

Goals & scoring

  • Both teams to score: 49%

Recent form

Beijing Guoan: WDWD · Sichuan Jiuniu: WLDLW

Standings

  • Beijing Guoan: 7th in Super League, 26 pts
  • Sichuan Jiuniu: 10th in Super League, 23 pts

Head-to-head

Beijing Guoan 2 · Sichuan Jiuniu 3 · 1 draws

  • 2026-04-21: Sichuan Jiuniu 0-1 Beijing Guoan
  • 2025-10-18: Sichuan Jiuniu 2-1 Beijing Guoan
  • 2025-05-10: Beijing Guoan 3-1 Sichuan Jiuniu
  • 2024-07-26: Sichuan Jiuniu 1-0 Beijing Guoan
  • 2024-04-09: Beijing Guoan 1-2 Sichuan Jiuniu

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