AS Roma vs Inter — AI prediction

Kick-off: 2026-09-19

Roma and Inter both arrive in excellent domestic form—3 wins from 3 Serie A matches—but Roma edges the evidence on this fixture. Roma sits 2nd in the table with a +9 goal difference and has scored 13 goals in their last 5, including two consecutive 4-0 wins. D. Malen (5 goals in 3 apps) is in prolific early-season form. Inter are third with +5 GD and one loss in their last 5 (to Real Madrid); their key attackers (Lautaro, Çalhanoğlu) are less potent than Roma's current output (2 goals each across 3 games). Roma's Stadio Olimpico home advantage and their superior goal-difference and shot volume edge Inter's balanced but less explosive form. This is tight, but Roma's firepower and league position warrant a slight favourite lean.

Key factors

• Roma: 3 Serie A wins from 3, +9 GD, 13 goals in last 5 matches, 2nd place.
• Inter: 3 Serie A wins from 3, +5 GD, 1 loss in last 5 (vs Real Madrid), 3rd place.
• D. Malen (Roma) 5 goals in 3 apps; Lautaro & Çalhanoğlu (Inter) 2 goals each across 3 games.
• Roma's recent xG 3.1 per game, shots 19.75/game; Inter's xG 2.6, shots 23.5/game—Roma more clinical.
• Roma 2 clean sheets in 3 league games vs Inter's 1 clean sheet in 3.
• Stadio Olimpico home advantage applies; lineups unavailable, no confirmed injuries listed.

Win probability

• AS Roma: 42%
• Draw: 28%
• Inter: 30%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 60%
• Both teams to score: 65%

Recent form

AS Roma: DWWWD · Inter: LWWWW

Standings

• AS Roma: 2nd in Serie A, 9 pts
• Inter: 3rd in Serie A, 9 pts