Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe — AI prediction

Kick-off: 2026-08-21

Union Santa Fe hold a decisive edge: €17.68M squad value versus Aldosivi's €7.50M, plus superior league standing (8th vs 14th). Over last five matches, Union show 67% form strength and 63% attacking power per the API model, while Aldosivi have won zero of 21 league games with only 9 goals scored all season. Union's C. Tarragona (9 goals in 23 apps) provides focal attacking threat. Head-to-head is mixed (3 home wins, 5 away wins since 2021), but Aldosivi's current form collapse—3 losses in last 5, 0 wins, 0.71 xG per game—makes them vulnerable. No confirmed injuries for either side.

Key factors

• Squad value gap: Union €17.68M vs Aldosivi €7.50M (2.4× advantage)
• League position & form: Union 8th (21 pts, 7W–7D–9L), Aldosivi 14th (8 pts, 0W–10D–11L)
• Aldosivi winless in 21 league games; only 9 goals all season, 0.71 xG/game last 5
• Union averaging 0.99 xG/game in last 5 with C. Tarragona (9 goals, 23 apps) available
• Recent form: Aldosivi DLLLD (3 losses in last 5); Union LLWLD (mixed but higher quality opposition)
• H2H: 5 Union away wins vs 3 Aldosivi home wins; Aldosivi beat Union 2–0 away in Oct 2025, lost 0–1 at home Feb 2026
• API model: Union 45% away win + 45% draw vs Aldosivi 10% home win; advises double chance (draw or Union)
• No injuries reported for either side

Win probability

• Aldosivi: 18%
• Draw: 36%
• Union Santa Fe: 46%

Recent form

Aldosivi: DLLLD · Union Santa Fe: LLWLD

Standings

• Aldosivi: 14th in Apertura - Group B, 8 pts
• Union Santa Fe: 8th in Apertura - Group A, 21 pts

Head-to-head

Aldosivi 3 · Union Santa Fe 5 · 2 draws

• 2026-02-23: Union Santa Fe 1-0 Aldosivi
• 2025-10-04: Union Santa Fe 0-2 Aldosivi
• 2025-03-27: Aldosivi 2-1 Union Santa Fe
• 2022-08-28: Union Santa Fe 0-0 Aldosivi
• 2021-10-01: Aldosivi 1-2 Union Santa Fe