AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov — AI prediction

Result

AF Elbasani 1-1 Bate Borisov

Kick-off: 2026-07-07

AF Elbasani host a Bate Borisov side in poor shape: BATE have lost four of their last five, including 0-1 to Gomel and 0-3 at Torpedo Zhodino, shipping nine goals over the run. Elbasani's form is mixed (WWLL) but includes a 3-0 win over Dinamo Tirana at home, and they enjoy standard home advantage here. The market makes Elbasani heavy favourites (1.58) and the on-pitch evidence supports that lean. Both defences leak goals, so a home win with goals looks the read.

Key factors

• BATE last5 LLLWD — four defeats, conceding in every recent loss (0-1, 0-3, 2-3)
• Elbasani won last outing 2-1 away and thrashed Dinamo Tirana 3-0 at home
• Both sides leaky: Elbasani GA 8, BATE GA 9 in recent samples
• No lineups, key players, H2H or api_prediction available — reduces confidence
• Market strongly favours home (1.58) and euro handicap home at 1.20

Win probability

• AF Elbasani: 62%
• Draw: 23%
• Bate Borisov: 15%

Goals & scoring

• Over 2.5 goals: 51%
• Both teams to score: 49%

Recent form

AF Elbasani: WWLL · Bate Borisov: LLLWD